EXPECT – Towards an integrated capability to EXplain and PrEdiCT regional climate changes

EXPECT (Towards an integrated capability to EXplain and PrEdiCT regional climate changes) is an EU funded 4-years Horizon project starting in April 2024. EXPECT will enable trustworthy assessments and predictions of regional climate change including extremes by developing a prototype operational capability for integrated attribution and prediction of climate. EXPECT will identify and quantify the mechanisms by which physical processes govern regional climatic changes, including extremes, on inter-annual to multi-decadal time scales. It will do so by exploiting newly available climate simulations and Earth Observations, and by combining machine learning with physical methods. The research will target fundamental knowledge gaps related to atmospheric circulation and land-atmosphere interactions, which represent major limitations in current climate predictions and projections, and in particular in understanding changes in European summer extremes.


Partner institutes

  • Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC)
  • Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum (DKRZ)
  • European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
  • University of Reading
  • Arctik SRL
  • Met Office
  • CINECA Consorzio Interuniversitario
  • Universität Hamburg
  • Universität Leipzig
  • Instituto Portugues do Mar e Atmosfera (IPMA)
  • Helmholtz-Zentrum für Ozeanforschung Kiel (GEOMAR)
  • Agencia estatal Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas (IAA-CISC)
  • University of Toronto (associated)

post info

Get in touch with us

Dr. Dim Coumou

Department of Water & Climate Risk
Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM)
VU Amsterdam
W&N-building, Room C-515
De Boelelaan 1087
1081 HV Amsterdam

Department of Earth System Analysis
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Telegraphenberg A62, room S16
D-14473, Potsdam, Germany

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