EXPECT – Towards an integrated capability to EXplain and PrEdiCT regional climate changes

EXPECT (Towards an integrated capability to EXplain and PrEdiCT regional climate changes) is an EU funded 4-years Horizon project starting in April 2024. EXPECT will enable trustworthy assessments and predictions of regional climate change including extremes by developing a prototype operational capability for integrated attribution and prediction of climate. EXPECT will identify and quantify the mechanisms by which physical processes govern regional climatic changes, including extremes, on inter-annual to multi-decadal time scales. It will do so by exploiting newly available climate simulations and Earth Observations, and by combining machine learning with physical methods. The research will target fundamental knowledge gaps related to atmospheric circulation and land-atmosphere interactions, which represent major limitations in current climate predictions and projections, and in particular in understanding changes in European summer extremes.